Ian's Movie Reviews
Short Reviews of Movies, Board Games, and Other Stuff

My 2010-2011 Oscar Predictions – Part 5: The Results

The 2010 Oscars are in the bag, and now we see how my predictions held up.  I nailed all of the acting categories again, and the writing categories this time too.

I felt the show was a little lackluster this year.  Franco and Hathaway were alright, but certainly nothing special.  I was hoping for a surprise like when Hugh Jackman hosted, but oh well.  I still liked it better than last year.

There were some pretty good speeches this year actually.  But some of the add-ions they tried didn’t work.  The inception clip at the beginning didn’t really go anywhere and the Harry potter musical really wasn’t that funny.   But cest la vie.  Now to the awards.

BEST PICTURE:

Winner: The King’s Speech

My Pick: The King’s Speech

It was down to either this or The Social Network.  And watching the award show play out, it was becoming clear that the winner was going to be the King’s Speech.  Besides, this is tailor-made Oscar bait.


DIRECTING:

Winner: Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech

My Pick: David Fincher – The Social Network

Wow, I really thought Fincher was going to win this (as he should have).  I keep betting on that BD/BP split.  One of these years it’ll work out for me!


ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:

Winner: Colin Firth – The King’s Speech

My Pick: Colin Firth – The King’s Speech

This one was pretty easy to predict as well.  Also, I’m glad they went back to one presenter instead of the panel of five.


ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE:

Winner: Natalie Portman – Black Swan

My Pick: Natalie Portman – Black Swan

Good for her.  I’m happy for her.  This seemed easy to predict, but Annette Bening started to suddenly get a lot of buzz, so I thought that perhaps I may have lost my pick here for a moment.


ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:

Winner: Christian Bale – The Fighter

My Pick:Christian Bale – The Fighter

I thought Rush may just sneak this one away there at the last moment, but Batman came away with it.


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:

Winner: Melissa Leo – The Fighter

My Pick: Melissa Leo – The Fighter

I’ll be honest; I made this prediction based on hearsay.  But it worked.  And her f-bomb was pretty hilarious too.



ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

Winner: The King’s Speech

My Pick: The King’s Speech

Well, at least I didn’t get shut out in the writing awards this year, unlike last.


ADAPTED  SCREENPLAY:

Winner: The Social Network

My Pick: The Social Network

My man Sorkin!  As a long time West Wing fan, this makes me happy.


FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

Winner: A Better World

My Pick: Biutiful

I should have learned my lesson from last year.  Don’t go for the most notable film in this category.


ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:

Winner: Toy Story 3

My Pick: Toy Story 3

Just like Up last year, this was the only movie in the category also in the Best Picture category, so not really a brain buster.


ART DIRECTION:

Winner: Alice in Wonderland

My Pick: Alice in Wonderland

I bet on Burton and it paid off.  First award of the night, so off to a good start.


CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Winner: Inception

My Pick: True Grit

I have to say I’m happy with the choice, despite my pick of True Grit.

COSTUME DESIGN:

Winner: Alice in Wonderland

My Pick: Alice in Wonderland

Wow, they actually resisted giving this award to a British Period Piece.  Well, kind of…

FILM EDITING:

Winner: The Social Network

My Pick: Black Swan

I was way off on this one.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:

Winner: Inside Job

My Pick: Inside Job

Sweet.  I thought Restrepo might take it in the end, but my predictions held true.

MAKEUP:

Winner: The Wolfman

My Pick: The Wolfman

Unlike Foreign Language Film, I did learn my lesson this year.  This category you DO go with the most notable.

ORIGINAL SCORE:

Winner: The Social Network

My Pick: The Social Network

I know I chose this to win, but I’m still surprised they picked it.  A very deserving winner.

ORIGINAL SONG:

Winner: We Belong Together – Toy Story 3

My Pick: I See the Light – Tangled

Everyone else saw this coming.  Why didn’t I?

SOUND MIXING:

Winner: Inception

My Pick: Inception

On a role so far!  They have to award Inception with the technicals.  They just have to.

SOUND EDITING:

Winner: Inception

My Pick: Inception

With a lack of war films, this one should go next to an action film.  And no, not Salt.

VISUAL EFFECTS:

Winner: Inception

My Pick: Inception

I’m glad they made the right choice here instead of going with another CGI-fest.

DOCUMENTARY SHORT:

Winner: Strangers No More

My Pick: Killing in the Name

Jake Gyllenhall even addressed Oscar picks at home, and stated it true that they can make or break your predictions.  Well, looks like they’re breaking mine, yet again.

ANIMATED SHORT FILM:

Winner: The Lost Thing

My Pick: Madagascar: a Journey Diary

Well, in all my research about this category, I don’t think I came across one prediction for The Lost Thing.  Hmm.

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM:

Winner: God of Love

My Pick: The Confession

Gotta say I liked the guys speech.  See, all speeches need are a tiny bit of humour and they’re fine.

MY SCORE: 16/24 = 67%

Better than last year, but still not great.  Its the shorts!  The shorts killed me yet again!

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5 Responses to “My 2010-2011 Oscar Predictions – Part 5: The Results”

  1. You did better than I did. Are you gonna do a post about your opinions on the winners and losers.

  2. 67% is not bad at all. There were a lot of good movies this year. I loved the King’s Speech, The Social Network, and True Grit. Black Swan was too creepy for my taste but even that film I liked. Of course, there were a lot of terrible movies this year too…but I believe you covered those in a previous entry. 🙂

  3. I was so happy that The King’s Speech won. And, although I know it wouldn’t, I still think L’illusionniste should have won Foreign Language. Good job predicting!

  4. Fincher really should have won Best Director.


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